Drought

DROUGHT

Climate change is having a devastating effect on dry areas of the world having begun to influence global drought risk more than a century ago. Models predict that droughts will become more frequent and severe as temperatures rise, potentially causing food and water shortages, extinction, human health impacts, destructive wildfires and conflicts between peoples competing for resources. They project a new round of severe megadroughts, resulting in the driest period in 1,000 years for parts of the U.S., with droughts becoming more frequent and severe.

This is occurring as 2023 is reported as the hottest year on record. The World Health Organization calls it “off the charts."

The 5th National Climate Assessment notes that “Drought risk is complex and changing” and that since 2011, California has experienced one of its most severe and widespread droughts since record-keeping began in 1895.Additionally, drying soil and longer lasting droughts in the Southwest, one of the hottest and driest regions in the world, may be due to warming temperatures, as warm air increases evaporation and transpiration. 40% of the severity of the 2000-2021 megadrought in the Southwest can be attributed to climate change. Rivers worldwide dried up at the highest rate in three decades in 2023, which we are also experiencing here.  Since 2000, the Colorado River has been experiencing reduced streamflow due to increased evaporation, less reflected sunlight and less snowfall. 

Besides reducing climate change, sustainable water management strategies such as regenerative agriculture and forest restoration are important to reduce drought risk. 

The United States Drought Monitor updates their maps every Thursday and Climate Central has an informative page with graphics and videos. 

CURRENT NEWS

California Needs Water. El Niño Might Bring Too Much.

By Scott Dance 09/26/26
El Niño threatens to dump torrential rains on California this winter. With a megadrought in the American West since 2000, that water should be welcome.
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Scientists link fossil fuel producers to the West’s worsening water shortages

By Barbara Grady 09/22/26
As the Western United States grapples with severe drought, leading cities to scramble for water and farmers to abandon some crops, a new scientific study has found that 122 major oil, gas, coal, and cement…
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This El Niño Has Reached ‘Super’ Status. Here’s What That Means

By Macy Meyer 09/20/26
The word “super” often indicates something compelling or extraordinary. But put it in front of El Niño and “super” takes on a much more concerning meaning.
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Scientists Warn This Year’s El Niño Could Create Brand New Extreme Weather Patterns

By Matthew Phelan 09/14/26
Something weird happened during the El Niño event of 2023 and 2024. Climate scientists with the National Science Foundation’s National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder, Colorado, noticed that the recurring global climate event…
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The US Is Losing Its Ability to Store Water When It Needs It Most

By Kyle Stock and Kyle Kim 09/08/26
Turn on a hose in Denver this summer and the water likely flows from the Strontia Springs Reservoir. The small manmade lake in the mountains just west of downtown stores the state’s precious snowmelt and…
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In an Age of Perpetual Climate Disaster, Rebuilding Is the Wrong Goal

By David Wallace-Wells 09/04/26
This spring, the Southeast was on fire. Ninety-five percent of the region was in severe drought, and in parts of Georgia and the Carolinas what was burning was what’s called the “blowdown” from Hurricane Helene…
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At the Grand Canyon, Flooding and Wildfire Underscore Compounding Extreme Weather Risks

By Kiley Price 09/01/26
An intense downpour at Grand Canyon National Park transformed hiking trails and shallow creeks into deadly rapids over the weekend, killing at least two people.
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‘We’ve Never Seen Anything Like It’: Early Harvest Rattles France’s Wine Industry

By Claire Moss and Ségolène Le Stradic 08/25/26
Usually in August, the farmers that cultivate France’s famed Champagne grapes would be enjoying some down time ahead of the annual late-summer harvest.
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A Severe Drought Is Straining the Panama Canal. Could Global Warming Make It Worse?

By Kiley Price 08/25/26
One of the world’s most-used shortcuts is at risk as a severe drought plagues Central America.
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The Biggest Carbon Polluters Are to Blame for Half of U.S. Western Water Lost to Climate Change, ‘Groundbreaking’ Paper Says

By Jake Bolster 08/25/26
Some of the largest fossil fuel companies on Earth are disproportionately responsible for the water crisis in the American West, according to a first-of-its-kind study published Tuesday.
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Fearing ‘Catastrophic Impacts’ From Water Cuts, Nevada Sues Feds Over Colorado River Plan

By Steven Rodas 08/24/26
Three days was all it took for the Trump administration’s Colorado River plan to see a legal challenge from, somewhat ironically, Nevada.
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America’s Desert Metropolis Is on the Short List to Lose Water

By Reis Thebault 08/23/26
From a secure, windowless room in northern Phoenix, technicians control the Colorado River water that sustains America’s largest desert metropolis.
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KEY RESOURCES

Drought in Summer 2026 in 12 Maps and Graphs

09/16/26
The contiguous United States experienced its warmest June-August on record in 2026, accompanied by below-normal precipitation and above-normal temperatures that sustained widespread drought, now covering nearly half the country. These extreme conditions fueled a destructive…

Map released: August 20, 2026

08/18/26
The area with the highest rainfall amounts this past week was primarily a wide band from Nebraska east to Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, and West Virginia. Totals over 5 inches were observed in central Illinois…

Drought Report Annual 2024

01/10/25
Overall, when integrated across the nation and across the entire year, 2024 was the warmest year on record while precipitation was the highest for the nation since 2019 . This was a year of extremes…

National Current Conditions November 6, 2024 – November 12, 2024

11/21/24
More November rain (and some snow) led to more drought improvement in the Central U.S., especially in the Plains, South, and Midwest. However, much of the Eastern U.S. worsened for the second week in a…

High temperatures exacerbated by climate change made 2022 Northern Hemisphere droughts more likely

10/05/22
Western Central Europe, North America, China, and other parts of the Northern Hemisphere faced water shortages, extreme heat, and soil moisture drought conditions throughout the summer of 2022

Drought in the Western United States

09/26/22
The U.S. Drought Monitor (USDM) categorizes drought in a region according to soil moisture, streamflow, and precipitation levels. Regional designations can vary and are primarily based on historical weather patterns. Drought can adversely affect many…

Images of change

07/03/22
Disappearing Lake Mead, Nevada-Arizona Border
nps

Climate Change in National Parks

06/06/22
Climate Change Response Program Natural Resource Stewardship and Science. National Park Service U.S. Department of the Interior. of glaciers and ice sheets. And of those that remain, most are shrinking at an accelerated rate. These…

Projected U.S. drought extremes through the twenty-first century with vapor pressure deficit

05/21/22
Global warming is expected to enhance drought extremes in the United States throughout the twenty-first century. Projecting these changes can be complex in regions with large variability in atmospheric and soil moisture on small spatial…

Drought in numbers

05/11/22
The report, an authoritative compendium of drought-related information and data, helps inform negotiations of one of several decisions by UNCCD’s 196 member states, to be issued 20 May at the conclusion of COP15.

Western Drought 2020-2022

05/10/22
Climate change is a major contributor to the prolonged and intensifying drought that has impacted the western US since early 2020, as well as the underlying megadrought that has been ongoing since 2000.[1] Rising temperatures…

What the Western US megadrought tells us about climate change

03/09/22
A 22-year megadrought has made the Western United States the driest it has been since at least the year 800, according to a new study. A megadrought is essentially a prolonged drought that lasts for…

Explainer: ‘Desertification’ and the role of climate change

08/06/19
While the term may bring to mind the windswept sand dunes of the Sahara or the vast salt pans of the Kalahari, it’s an issue that reaches far beyond those living in and around the…

National Weather Service – Drought Information

09/11/19
The U.S. Drought monitor is an overview of drought types and drought impacts updated weekly based upon a combination of sources.

MORE NEWS

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Triple Your Impact To Protect Our Planet

08/21/26  
Help cut the pollution that causes climate change to protect what matters most-people and the planet.
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‘Uncharted territory’: Second-largest reservoir in US plunges to a record low

By Laura Paddlson   08/18/26  
Lake Powell, the second-largest reservoir in the United States, provides water and electricity to millions in the West. It has now has shrunk to its lowest level on record, in the latest sign of the…
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What you need to know about the water crisis in Puerto Rico

By Rafael Mendez Tejeda and Pearl Marvell   08/13/26  
U.S. citizens in San Juan, Puerto Rico, are spending hours waiting for water trucks after water rationing went into effect amid drought on the island archipelago. Puerto Rico Gov. Jenniffer González declared a state of…
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Indonesia’s Forest Fires Surge as El Niño Raises Drought Risks

By Eko Listiyorini   08/12/26  
Indonesia is battling a surge in forest fires as a developing El Niño threatens to bring even drier weather and intensify risks at the peak of its dry season.
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The World is Running Out of Water. Here’s What We Did About It.

By Jessica   08/12/26  
When the World Economic Forum does something, you should probably pay attention. Every year, world leaders and their billionaire ventriloquists meet in Davos, Switzerland, and make plans for the rest of humanity.
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For Too Long We Have Been Taking Fresh Water for Granted

By David Houle   08/12/26  
All my life, living in post-WWII America, the water was always available. In the kitchen, in the bathroom, in the laundry room, it was always available. It was expected that fresh, filtered [by the city,…
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What will El Niño bring where you live? Maps show its wide-reaching impacts.

By Ben Noll and John Muyskens   08/10/26  
A much-anticipated El Niño that developed this summer is on track to become the strongest ever recorded, with cascading effects on global climate peaking late this year and into next.
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What Happens When the World is on Fire

By John Vaillant   08/08/26  
Water bombers, the air cavalry of wildfire fighting, buzz the treetops like air show stunt pilots as they save the day with surgical drops of water or orange retardant.
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How an already warming world is changing the risks from El Niño

By Andrew Freedman   08/04/26  
Wildfires began to make their destructive run through neighborhoods in Spokane, Washington on Saturday, eventually burning more than 700 structures in the city and sending about 65,000 people fleeing. Those fires, which are still threatening…
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A new Colorado River plan requires water cuts for three states. Deeper cuts are still possible.

By Sarah Kaplan and Hannah Knowles   07/31/26  
Arizona, California and Nevada will be required to curb their use of the water from the Colorado River by a combined 20 percent over the next two years — and could ultimately face even larger…
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Is climate change unfolding faster and fiercer than scientists expected?

By Kate Marvel   07/30/26  
It’s been a summer of heat and fire. Three severe heat domes have settled over the United States in a month, sending temperatures skyrocketing over and over again. The skies over vast swathes of the…
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Colorado residents are ratting out neighbors over water use during drought

By Annie Gowen   07/29/26  
As Colorado dries up in a historic drought, scofflaws violating water restrictions have sparked tension throughout the state’s largest metropolitan area, turning residential streets into checkerboards of virtue and vice. The emerald green lawns of…
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California dodges a bullet on Colorado River cuts

By Ian James   07/23/26  
California and two other states have avoided the harshest water cutbacks the Trump administration could have imposed over the next two years to deal with the deepening crisis on the Colorado River.
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How climate change could redraw California’s wine map

By Corinne Purtill   07/23/26  
It was Labor Day 2017, and the remote thermometer at McIntyre Estate Vineyard in Monterey County’s Santa Lucia Highlands was registering a noontime temperature Steve McIntyre couldn’t quite believe: 104 degrees.
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The Clock Is Ticking for New Mexico to Cut Rio Grande Water Use

By Martha Pskowski   07/19/26  
After 13 years, Texas and New Mexico have finally reached a settlement in a Supreme Court case over Rio Grande water management.
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One of Arizona’s Largest Reservoirs Is Less Than 1% Full After Snowpack Collapse

By Adam Voiland   07/09/26  
After an exceptionally poor snow season, one of Arizona’s largest reservoirs shrank to less than 1% full, wiping out nearly all its fish and leaving its recovery dependent on future rains.
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Lake Powell, a vital reservoir, plunges toward unprecedented low levels as water crisis deepens in US west

By Roque Planas   07/07/26  
Lake Powell, the US’s second-largest reservoir, threatens to plunge to unprecedentedly low levels this year after a historically bleak snowpack failed to raise its water level, scientists and water experts have said, adding renewed urgency…
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At a Tipping Point: Strengthening Forest Resilience on the Navajo Nation

07/05/26  
For thousands of years, forests on the Navajo Nation have held cultural, relational, and spiritual significance to the Diné people. Today, the Diné forest and woodland landscape, which covers roughly 4.9 million acres, supports community…
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Over 100 New Wildfires Sparked on Fourth of July Weekend

By Hollie Silverman   07/05/26  
More than 100 new wildfires erupted across the country over the Fourth of July weekend, intensifying an already severe fire season as extreme heat and dry conditions grip the West.
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Fireworks, heat and drought put this July 4th at high risk for wildfires

By Lauren Lowman   06/29/26  
Across the United States, the sky will be erupting with fireworks on July 4, 2026, and the days around it as America celebrates the 250th anniversary of its independence. Many cities will be hosting spectacular…
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After low snowpack and widespread drought, the U.S. is a tinderbox

06/10/26  
As bad as things got in Los Angeles in January 2025, when 31 people died and more than 16,000 buildings were destroyed by wildfires roaring into residential neighborhoods, many wildland firefighters look back on the…
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Montana Officials Warn of Elevated Wildfire Risk From Increasing Drought, Heat and Wind

By Mosabber Hossain   06/06/26  
Montana officials are warning that the 2026 wildfire season could bring above-normal fire risk to parts of the state, driven by a mix of drought conditions, wind events and warmer-than-average winter temperatures.
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Long-Threatened Powerful El Niño Could Emerge Any Day Now, UN Warns

By Matthew Phelan   06/02/26  
After months of warnings, this year’s potentially disruptive El Niño season appears to be finally at our doorstep. The latest report from the United Nations’ World Meteorological Organization (WMO) confirmed that “sea surface temperature anomalies”…
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Why Wildfire Experts Are So Worried About This Year’s Fire Season

By Peter Aldhous   05/31/26  
As bad as things got in Los Angeles in January 2025, when 31 people died and more than 16,000 buildings were destroyed by wildfires roaring into residential neighborhoods, many wildland firefighters look back on the…
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US agriculture industry at risk as drought conditions worsen

By Julia Jacobo   05/29/26  
Farms all over the country are bracing for the impact of drought after months of little precipitation, experts told ABC News.
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The US is seeing stronger storms, so why are droughts getting worse?

By David Boutt   05/26/26  
About two-thirds of the U.S. is in some stage of drought in late spring 2026, yet at the same time the country has been seeing more intense downpours. It might seem contradictory, but both are…
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CNN

What previous Super El Niños can tell us about the next one

By Andrew Freedman   05/19/26  
The coming “Super” El Niño is poised to affect the lives of hundreds of millions of people worldwide as it strengthens through the year into the winter season. It may also alter ecosystems for decades…
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CNN

El Niño is coming faster than expected and chances are rising that it will be historically strong

By Chris Dolce   05/15/26  
This is according to a just-released update from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center that says there is a 2 in 3 chance that El Niño’s peak strength will be strong or very strong.
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Trump administration readying a plan to impose Colorado River water cuts on western states

By Ian James   05/15/26  
After months of pressing western states to come to their own agreement, the Trump administration told their leaders it’s drawing up a 10-year plan for dealing with water shortages on the Colorado River.
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This coming El Niño could be a monster. Will it bring epic rain to California this winter?

By Rong-Gong Lin 11   05/14/26  
The likelihood of a potentially powerful El Niño taking shape in the Pacific Ocean is rising, heightening concerns that Southern California could be in for an extreme rainy season.
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A super El Niño wiped out millions of people in 1877. Are we better prepared now?

By Ben Noll   05/12/26  
As chances rise for one of the strongest El Niño events on record later this year, the potential for dangerous conditions has prompted comparisons to 1877, when such an event drove catastrophe around the globe.
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Worst Start to Wildfire Season Raises Alarm as El Niño Threatens

By Joe Wertz   05/12/26  
Record-breaking heat and drought have fueled the world’s worst ever start to a wildfire year, as climate change and a developing El Niño threaten to push extreme weather to new heights.
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A Startup Confronts Water Shortages by Pulling It Out of the Air

By Todd Woody   05/12/26  
The large metallic white box sits in a Southern California parking lot, looking unremarkable until water starts flowing from a hose attached to it. Peer inside, though, and it’s nearly empty but for some wires,…
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Why the Colorado River is once again facing a water crisis

By Sarah Kaplan   05/10/26  
The situation on the Colorado River has rarely been more dire than in this moment. The snowpacks that feed the river are the smallest on record. The reservoirs that hold the majority of its water…
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‘Heat, floods and droughts make men more violent to women’: Natasha Walter on eco-feminism in a world on fire

By Natasha Walter   05/06/26  
Natasha Walter is halfway through explaining how she came to be politically radicalised when a young woman approaches the cafe table. We two middle-aged women look like “the most trustworthy people here,” she says, so…
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Why the odds keep rising for the strongest El Niño in a century

By Ben Noll   05/06/26  
Chances are rising that an El Niño expected to form soon could become one of the most powerful such events on record, according to new data released this week.
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Wildfire Season Starts Early as Drought Fuels Global Fire Risk

By Joe Wertz and Others   05/04/26  
The 2026 wildfire season in the northern hemisphere is already roaring, and summer hasn’t even started.
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May to Bring Early Summer to the West While the East Freezes

By Ellyn Lapointe   05/01/26  
May typically ushers in mild, pleasant weather, but perhaps not this year. Two starkly different, but equally unseasonable temperature trends will split the U.S. this month, potentially worsening drought in the West while the East…
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Drought Turns Southeastern US Into ‘Tinderbox’ as Wildfires Rage

By Kiley Price   04/28/26  
Drought and fire are a dangerous duo. The Southeastern United States is witnessing this firsthand as several major blazes burn tens of thousands of acres across the parched region, destroying homes and prompting evacuations in…
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US Wheat Crops Wither, Herds Thin as Spring Drought Deepens

By Lauren Rosenthal and Others   04/25/26  
Farmers across the Great Plains are confronting an intense drought that threatens winter wheat harvests and is pushing cattle producers toward costly feed purchases, prompting some to abandon plans to expand their herds.
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‘A completely new reality’: Bolder measures are needed to prevent extreme water shortages in cities like Phoenix and Las Vegas that depend on the Colorado River

By Sascha Pare   04/24/26  
Catastrophic water shortages are in store for the 40 million people living in areas fed by the Colorado River, even if cities in the region such as Denver, Phoenix and Las Vegas make dramatic cuts…
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San Diego Now Has So Much Water That It’s Selling It

By Jim Carlton   04/15/26  
With the Colorado River in crisis, Arizona and Nevada are turning to an unconventional lifeline: the ocean water off California’s golden beaches
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AP

‘Climate change is kicking our butts.’ March smashes heat records for continental US

By Seth Borenstein   04/09/26  
March’s persistent unseasonable heat was so intense that the continental United States registered its most abnormally hot month in 132 years of records, according to federal weather data. And the next year or so looks…
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The world just had its second-warmest March on record

By Jeff Masters   04/09/26  
March 2026 was tied with 2024 as the world’s second-warmest March in analyses of global weather data going back to 1850, NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information, or NCEI, reported April 9. Only March 2025…
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The year so far: hottest and driest in U.S. history

By Bob Henson   04/08/26  
Last month was the warmest March in records for the contiguous United States in national-scale data going back 132 years, according to NOAA’s monthly U.S. climate summary issued on April 8. The crowning event was…
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Epic winter drought creates a bleak situation for farmers — and your food

By Sarah Kaplan   04/07/26  
Justin Perry’s family has been farming the rolling hills of the Nebraska panhandle for four generations, but none of them can remember a winter as warm and parched as this one.
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Strongest El Niño in a century? What this rare phenomenon could bring.

By Ben Noll   04/06/26  
The chances for a planet-warming super El Niño this year are rising, according to an updated model forecast issued Sunday. The latest ECMWF outlook indicates there’s a high chance for a supercharged version of the…
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California Drought, Wildfire Risks Grow as Snow Falls Short

By Brian K Sullivan   04/01/26  
California is heading into its dry season with just a fraction of the snow it typically has across its highest peaks at the end of its winter months, raising the prospects of drought across the…
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Water-Use Restrictions Follow Snow Drought and Heat Wave in the Western U.S.

By Kiley Price   03/31/26  
Officials were already sounding the alarm bells in early March across the Western United States after a winter with historically low snowpacks, which supplies water for communities as it slowly melts throughout the spring and…
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California’s Thin Snowpack Raises Summer Water Risks

By Brian K Sullivan   03/30/26  
On the eve of its critical April 1 snowpack measurement, California finds itself with a problem: too much dirt and not enough snow in its mountains.
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