Before you do anything else, you might want to check out your home’s specific risks here ….

Extreme Weather

EXTREME WEATHER

One of the most visible consequences of a warming world is the increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. The US Government’s 2023 Fifth National Climate Assessment Report finds that heat waves, drought, heavy rainfall, floods, major hurricanes and wildfires have all increased in the U.S., as has their strength. The NCA also reports that global warming increases the chances of compound extreme events, or the risk that multiple extreme weather events may occur in the same region in quick succession (These NCA links are broken as of October 2025 - see below). 

It’s affecting us economically: NOAA released a billion dollar extreme weather events map from 2000-2023 pinpointing the US locations where disaster has already struck, followed by a list of the top ten costliest events. 2023 was the highest year on record for the number of billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in the US, with 28 events.  Based on data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the U.S. experienced 27 weather and climate disasters in 2024 that each exceeded $1 billion in damage. The total cost of these 2024 disasters was an estimated $182.7 billion, and they resulted in 568 fatalities. The annual average for the last five years (2020-2024) is 23 events. 

And, it’s affecting us everywhere:

The consequences of doing nothing are severe. The United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction 

WHERE TO GO TO LEARN MORE

  • Explore this section to learn more about the consequences of climate change on extreme weather events including tornadoes, drought, heat, hurricanes, wildfires, and rainfall & floods in the U.S. 
  • At the end of 2019, COLLATERAL, a website focused on Climate, Data and Science from The Weather Channel, published a history of climate change in the last decade by Bob Henson which is stunning in its perception and its diligence. After looking to the future, he closes his article quoting Katharine Hayhoe, and reminding us: “Every action matters. Every bit of warming matters. Every year matters. Every choice matters.”
  • There are 1,750 designated Superfund sites across the country, 945 of which are at risk of being compromised by climate-driven storms, floods, wildfires and sea level rise. More at Inside Climate News. 
  • In the end of June, 2022, Climate Central launched a tool to make every weatherman’s heart glow: called a Climate Shift Index (complete with interactive maps) it shows the daily influence of climate on weather by location!
  • Michael Svoboda, from Yale Climate Connections, publishes lists of great climate change books regularly. I loved his August, 2022 another list of great climate change books. His focus, this time, was on extreme weather and the twelve recommendations cover the gamut from renowned University of Oxford researcher Friederike Otto’s Angry Weather to the newest title in a wonderful series for Grade 3 level readers ranging from air quality to rising sea levels. In July 2025 he published “Cool Books for a Hot Summer.” One of the most powerful recent nonfiction titles “We Are Eating the Earth,” by Michael Grunwald is on it. I urge you to read it.

National Climate Assessment (NCA) LINKS ARE BROKEN

As of July 2025, the National Climate Assessment website has gone dark. This is a crucial federal source of information on how climate change does/will impact the United States, especially its tracking of extreme weather events in the country. The NCA is mandated by Congress to be released every four years, with the next one due for 2027. Work had already begun on this 6th National Climate Assessment when the federal staff were let go in April, making the future of the report uncertain. 

MORE FEDERAL INFORMATION GOING DARK

NOAA announced in May 2025 that its Billion Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters database would no longer be updated beyond 2024. According to Jeff Masters, meteorologist for Yale Climate Connections, the database has since 1980 been “the gold standard we use to evaluate the costs of extreme weather, and it's a major loss, since it comes at a time when we need to better understand how much climate change is increasing disaster losses.” Since the agency has access to non-public data, it will be difficult, if not impossible, to reproduce the database.  

In addition to tracking the cost of extreme weather, NOAA oversees the National Weather Service and the National Hurricane Center, and releases daily weather forecasts, severe storm warnings, and climate monitoring. Project 2025 called for the “break up” of the agency due to it being “one of the main drivers of the climate change alarm industry,” and the Trump administration seems to be following suit, with DOGE reducing its staff and research capacity. The major cuts to NOAA will make communities more vulnerable and put lives at risk at a time when extreme weather events are only rising due to climate change. With hundreds of staff laid off, and cuts to critical programs and data-collecting methods, there is concern about delayed or inaccurate warnings before disasters. 

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act repealed funds designated by the Biden administration for “improving research, forecasting, monitoring, and public communication of hazardous weather.” And NOAA’s budget plan for 2026 would close all NOAA labs, including the National Severe Storms Laboratory (founded in 1964), the Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental threats framework, Warn-on-Forecast project, and the Flooded Locations and Simulated Hydrographs project. 

THERE IS A CLIMATE JUSTICE COST TOO

Extreme weather is a climate justice issue too. The most vulnerable are often most at risk from extreme weather events, as communities affected by poverty, inequality, and environmental racism can bear the brunt of disasters, and lack the resources to evacuate or to rebuild.

TAKE CARE

Lever & Ecker, a law firm in New York City, created a useful guide, Winter Slips, Trips, and Falls: A Guide to Safety and Prevention. You might want to take a look.

IN SUMMARY

Hurricanes are becoming more intense, wildfires are burning longer and wider, heat waves are posing health risks, droughts are becoming more severe, and heavier rainfall and rising sea levels are increasing flood risk: extreme weather events are emphasizing the extreme urgency that we take immediate action to mitigate climate change.

CREDIT: NOAA

CURRENT NEWS

6 Ways Isaias Is Remaking the Story of This Year’s Hurricane Season

By Judson Jones 10/08/26
The first hurricane did not arrive until four months into this year’s Atlantic hurricane season. It has been two years since one of the storms struck the mainland United States — Milton, in 2024, was…
Read more

Climate change worsened coastal flooding during East Coast nor’easter

09/29/26
A low-pressure system developed into a nor’easter off the Carolina coast late last week, strengthening as several low-pressure areas consolidated offshore. The storm produced strong winds, large waves, and repeated coastal flooding along the East…
Read more

Powerful Nor’easter Floods Northeast Again, Causing Problems From New Jersey To New England

By Leah Willingham and John Seewer 09/27/26
Residents of coastal communities in the Northeast slogged through floodwaters for a second day as a powerful nor’easter pummeled the shoreline Sunday, knocking out power to tens of thousands of homes.
Read more

More Than 23K Without Power Across LI After Night Of Fierce Winds, 700+ Fallen Trees: PSEG

By Lisa Finn 09/27/26
A powerful nor'easter continues to pummel the Long Island region, leaving more than 20,000 without power Sunday morning.
Read more

With Storms on 2 Sides of the U.S., El Niño Shows Its Might

By Raymond Zhong 09/26/26
The powerhouse El Niño in the Pacific Ocean is making itself felt on two sides of the nation for the first, but probably not last, time this year.
Read more
CNN

Nor’easter lashes coastal communities with soaking rain, wind and massive waves

09/26/26
More wind and rain: A strong, early-season nor’easter delivered a weekend of wind, soaking rain and massive waves to the Northeast. Rain showers, which could be heavy at times, will continue off and on into…
Read more

Whether it’s ‘super’ or ‘Godzilla,’ El Niño is already breaking records

By Frida Garza and Kate Yoder 09/25/26
By now, you’ve seen the headlines, and there’s more of them every day: It’s “jaw-dropping.” It’s poised to make global warming worse. California has just declared a statewide state of emergency. This year’s El Niño…
Read more

Climate change is adding fuel to this weekend’s Nor’easter

09/24/26
A developing nor’easter is expected to strengthen along the U.S. East Coast through the weekend, bringing heavy rainfall, strong winds, dangerous surf, and coastal flooding from the Mid-Atlantic into New England. As of September 24,…
Read more

Heavy weekend rain, flooding causes multiple events to be delayed, cancelled or altered around Chicago

By Michael Johnson and Others 09/20/26
The heavy, soaking rain that’s blanketing Chicago this weekend has caused multiple events across the city to be delayed, cancelled or altered.
Read more

Scientists Warn This Year’s El Niño Could Create Brand New Extreme Weather Patterns

By Matthew Phelan 09/14/26
Something weird happened during the El Niño event of 2023 and 2024. Climate scientists with the National Science Foundation’s National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder, Colorado, noticed that the recurring global climate event…
Read more

Climate Change Connection: recent U.S. extreme rainfall

08/27/26
A stalled weather front allowed for repeated rounds of multi-day thunderstorms, starting on Aug. 11. Five to six inches of rain fell over the following week, with eight to 10 inches reported east of Columbus.
Read more

After the Storm

By Sam Sifton 08/19/26
Hurricane Lala tore past the Big Island of Hawaii last weekend, dropped three feet of rain and left a path of ruins that residents will be working for months to fix.
Read more

KEY RESOURCES

Climate Reporting Resources: 2026 Hurricane Season

06/17/26
Oceans made warmer by climate change are fueling more intense Atlantic hurricanes that bring heavier rainfall and higher storm surge when they make landfall.

Hold Mullin Accountable

04/01/26
Add your name if you’re ready to demand Congress hold Mullin accountable when he fails the American people.

From desert blazes to New England winters, 10 American climates explained

03/30/26
From sea to shining sea, America is a vast land, and its diverse climates reflect that. Scorching deserts and icy mountains, the U.S. has it all. And traveling through the country, you can easily experience…

Weather Related Fatality and Injury Statistics

11/21/24
The U.S. Natural Hazard Statistics provide statistical information on fatalities, injuries, and damages caused by weather related hazards. These statistics are compiled from information contained in Storm Data, a database comprising information from NWS forecast…
WWF

Is climate change increasing the risk of disasters?

10/02/24
From deadly wildfires in Texas to devastating floods in North Carolina, disasters wreaked havoc across the US in 2024, set to be the world’s hottest year on record. They shook millions of lives1 and caused…

How Climate Change Is Fueling Extreme Weather

10/01/24
From season to season and year to year, weather events that were once rare occurrences are now increasingly commonplace.

Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters

08/22/24
Summary of U.S. billion-dollar weather and climate related disaster research, methodology, and data sources.

Tornado Basics

07/30/24
A tornado is a narrow, violently rotating column of air that extends from a thunderstorm to the ground. Because wind is invisible, it is hard to see a tornado unless it forms a condensation funnel…

What is a landslide and what causes one?

06/18/24
A landslide is defined as the movement of a mass of rock, debris, or earth down a slope. Landslides are a type of "mass wasting," which denotes any down-slope movement of soil and rock under…

Extreme weather The big picture

02/14/24
The storm that brought New York City the most snow in more than two years was also one of the biggest forecast busts in recent memory for the highly populated I-95 corridor.

National Risk Index Data Lookup

09/25/23
Use the form below to look up the risk details for a specific county or Census tract. As you enter information into the form, the form will update and present you with additional input fields.…

Extreme April heat in Spain, Portugal, Morocco & Algeria almost impossible without climate change

05/07/23
A large area of South Western Europe and Northern Africa experienced extremely high temperatures usually only seen in July and August, at the end of April 2023.

WeatherPower Year in Review: 2022

02/22/23
Climate Central’s WeatherPower™ tool produces daily estimates and forecasts of solar and wind generation at local scale across the continental United States. To study America’s growing renewable electricity capacity and generation, we analyzed WeatherPower data…

12 titles on extreme weather – and how to handle it

08/02/22
With parts of Asia, Europe, and the United States still suffering or recovering from withering heat waves, and with the peak of hurricane season approaching, titles about extreme weather and how to handle it seem…

NOAA tool now brings disaster risk, vulnerability down to community level

07/27/22
A comprehensive update to NOAA’s Billion Dollar Disasters mapping tool now includes U.S. census tract data – providing many users with local community-level awareness of hazard risk, exposure and vulnerability across more than 100 combinations…

Introducing the Climate Shift Index

07/26/22
Climate Central launches the Climate Shift Index—a new tool that shows the local influence of climate change, every day. Climate Shift Index (CSI) levels indicate how much climate change has altered the frequency of daily…

Assessing the Global Climate in June 2022

07/14/22
Globally, June 2022 was the sixth-warmest June in the 143-year NOAA record. The year-to-date (January-June) global surface temperature was also the sixth warmest on record. According to NCEI’s Global Annual Temperature Outlook, there is a…

Assessing the U.S. Climate in July 2022

07/01/22
Historic flash flood events juxtapose heat and expanding drought

September 2021 Regional Climate Impacts and Outlooks

09/30/21
OAA and its partners have released the latest Regional Climate Impacts and Outlooks, which recap summer conditions and provide insight into what might be expected this autumn.

What’s Going On With Extreme Weather?

09/22/21
In recent months, record-high temperatures, flooding and drought have had catastrophic consequences for individuals and communities.

National Centers for Environmental Information

08/19/21
NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) hosts and provides public access to one of the most significant archives for environmental data on Earth. We provide over 37 petabytes of comprehensive atmospheric, coastal, oceanic, and geophysical…

New Climate Maps Show a Transformed United States

11/28/20
According to new data from the Rhodium Group analyzed by ProPublica and The New York Times Magazine, warming temperatures and changing rainfall will drive agriculture and temperate climates northward, while sea level rise will consume…

NOAA’s Weather and Climate Toolkit

06/11/20
NOAA's Weather and Climate Toolkit (WCT) is free, platform independent software distributed from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI). The WCT allows the visualization and data export of weather and climate data, including Radar,…

Data Snapshots: Reusable Climate Maps

06/10/20
This visual catalog with convenient filtering options can help you find the climate data you need. How-to instructions can help you navigate data access tools.
epa

Creating Resilient Water Utilities (CRWU)

06/10/20
EPA's CRWU initiative provides drinking water, wastewater and stormwater utilities with practical tools, training and technical assistance needed to increase resilience to extreme weather events.

Climate Change

06/10/20
This page provides information about climate change and links to related tools and documents. The page is intended for anyone interested in learning more about our resources and other federal government resources to support climate…

Is your state at risk?

06/10/20
Climate Central is an independent group of scientists and communicators who research and report the facts about our changing climate and how it affects people’s lives. We are a policy-neutral 501(c)(3) nonprofit.

Explaining Extreme Events OF 2018 From a Climate Perspective

03/03/20
Analyses Of The Northern European Summer Heatwave Of 2018

Climate Central

11/19/19
Extreme Weather Videos

MORE NEWS

Explainer: How the ‘super El Niño’ will reshape the world’s weather

By Robert McSweeney and Daisy Dunne   08/18/26  
The world is currently experiencing what is expected to become the strongest El Niño on record – dubbed a “super El Niño” by many.
Read more
cnn

‘Uncharted territory’: Second-largest reservoir in US plunges to a record low

By Laura Paddlson   08/18/26  
Lake Powell, the second-largest reservoir in the United States, provides water and electricity to millions in the West. It has now has shrunk to its lowest level on record, in the latest sign of the…
Read more

Europe is heating twice as fast as other continents: What is driving its extreme weather crisis?

By Chandan Prakash   08/15/26  
The summer of 2026 has brought a succession of extreme heatwaves, severe drought and destructive wildfires across the continent, with Spain, France, Greece, Croatia, Germany and now the UK confronting fires that have forced evacuations,…
Read more

Heat, Fire, Smoke and Storms Are Wreaking Havoc on the Economy

By Lydia DePillis   08/11/26  
In early June, the power went out at Stephanie Hart’s bakery on Chicago’s South Side, during an intense storm and a suffocating heat wave.
Read more

July was hottest month ever recorded in US as heatwaves scorched country

By Oliver Milman   08/10/26  
July was the hottest month ever recorded in the US, with repeated, scorching heatwaves across much of the country helping shatter all previous monthly temperature records stretching back over the full 132 years of reliable…
Read more

U.S. Cities Are Seeing More 90-Degree Days Than Ever. Is Yours One of Them?

By Meryl Davids Landau   08/06/26  
Are U.S. cities seeing more ultra-hot days than they did decades ago? A new analysis indicates that’s the case for much of the country.
Read more

It’s getting more dangerous for kids to play summer sports

By YCC Team   07/31/26  
From Little League tournaments to preseason football practices, young athletes often play outside on hot summer days. And as the climate warms, they’re increasingly at risk of heat-related illness.
Read more

The Very Good and Very Bad News on Climate

By Ezra Klein   07/10/26  
Here’s the good news: Green energy is getting better and cheaper, faster than we had ever dared hope. This next sentence was unimaginable even a few years ago: In April, the energy think tank Ember…
Read more

Private Equity Turns to Heat Detectives as Climate Risks Intensify

By Ishika Mookerjee   07/08/26  
Erratic weather is forcing private equity investors to scrutinize a new source of financial risk — whether assets in their portfolios can withstand a changing climate.
Read more

Severe storms roll through parts of US as heat wave continues

By Jon Haworth and Others   07/05/26  
The widespread extreme heat fueled another round of severe weather, impacting a large swath of the country as July Fourth celebrations took place.
Read more

Hedge Fund Eyes Crop Disruption as Super El Niño Looms

By Agnieszka de Sousa and Others   06/25/26  
Investors are mis-pricing the risk of a super El Niño disrupting and eventually reshaping global food supply chains — and, where there’s a mismatch, there’s money to be made.
Read more

Market Said to Underestimate ‘Super El Nino’ Risk

By David Rovella   06/25/26  
The growing global threat posed by a so-called super El Niño to global food supplies is spurring the finance industry into action — with a new commodities fund.
Read more

Parts of the Gulf Coast are under water and more rain is on the way

By Chris Dolce and Others   06/21/26  
More rain is on the way for parts of the Gulf Coast still under water after potentially record-breaking deluges forced evacuations and rescues from dozens of flooded homes, business and vehicles.
Read more

Is Climate Change Supercharging El Niño? A Debate Rages.

By Chico Harlan   06/19/26  
It’s a vigorous debate taking place right now among scientists around the world, with far-reaching implications for extreme weather and costly disasters: Is climate change making El Niño more intense?
Read more

Chicago weather: Flood watch issued ahead of serious storms expected Wednesday

By Deanese Williams-Harris   06/17/26  
A flood watch was issued Wednesday morning in effect from 10 a.m. to 9 p.m. ahead of thunderstorms expected in Chicago and surrounding areas. On Tuesday, weather officials said torrential and excessive rainfall is expected…
Read more

NOAA Declares That El Niño Has Officially Arrived

By Juan Hernandez   06/12/26  
El Niño is officially here and it’s probably going to be an intense one, forecasters from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) declared Thursday. The administration published its official announcement of the climate event…
Read more

NYC to get thrashed by sizzling temps, thunderstorms and even possible tornado: forecasters

By Zoe Hussain   06/11/26  
Severe weather will bring sizzling temperatures and strong thunderstorms to New York on Thursday and Friday — even offering intense enough conditions for a tornado to form, according to forecasters.
Read more
Pbs

El Nino is here. It’ll be big, bad and costly, scientists fear

By Seth Borenstein   06/11/26  
El Nino, Nature's chaotic climate agent, has formed in a warmed-up Pacific Ocean and is expected to grow to historic strength, meteorologists announced Thursday.
Read more

After low snowpack and widespread drought, the U.S. is a tinderbox

06/10/26  
As bad as things got in Los Angeles in January 2025, when 31 people died and more than 16,000 buildings were destroyed by wildfires roaring into residential neighborhoods, many wildland firefighters look back on the…
Read more

How Trump’s Cuts to FEMA and NWS Are Leaving Communities Defenseless Against Extreme Weather Disasters

By Margaret Cooney and Levon Lespier   06/10/26  
Federal agencies help Americans prepare for, survive, and recover from extreme weather disasters, but the Trump administration’s cuts to the National Weather Service, Corporation for Public Broadcasting, and Federal Emergency Management Agency weaken that lifeline…
Read more

The looming El Niño could be bad – but much worse is to come

By Michael Le Page   06/03/26  
A “Godzilla El Niño” is coming, according to some newspaper headlines. The actual story is that there is an 80 per cent chance of an El Niño developing by September. Most models forecast a moderate…
Read more

Get Ready for a Smoky Summer

By Jeva Lange   06/03/26  
The nation will mark an unhappy anniversary next week:the worst day for wildfire pollution exposure in U.S. history. On June 7, 2023, the skies over the Acela Corridor turned a sickly ustard yellow
Read more

Natural-Disaster Insurance Gap Now Exceeds $420 Billion Globally

By Laura Millan   06/03/26  
The value of uninsured natural-catastrophe losses rose more than 7% globally last year to $424 billion, with North America the most exposed region, according to a fresh analysis.
Read more

Long-Threatened Powerful El Niño Could Emerge Any Day Now, UN Warns

By Matthew Phelan   06/02/26  
After months of warnings, this year’s potentially disruptive El Niño season appears to be finally at our doorstep. The latest report from the United Nations’ World Meteorological Organization (WMO) confirmed that “sea surface temperature anomalies”…
Read more
BBC

Prepare for El Niño, UN warns – it could be the strongest in decades

By Mark Poynting and Others   06/02/26  
A new phase of the natural El Niño weather pattern could begin in a matter of weeks, the UN has warned, boosting temperatures on a planet already under strain from climate change. The World Meteorological…
Read more

Extreme Weather to Drive $20 Trillion in Spending, BI Says

By Olivia Raimonde   06/02/26  
Extreme weather will likely spur more than $20 trillion in global spending over the next decade, boosting sales and earnings for reinsurers and companies involved in energy efficiency and climate security, according to analysts at…
Read more

Why Wildfire Experts Are So Worried About This Year’s Fire Season

By Peter Aldhous   05/31/26  
As bad as things got in Los Angeles in January 2025, when 31 people died and more than 16,000 buildings were destroyed by wildfires roaring into residential neighborhoods, many wildland firefighters look back on the…
Read more
CNN

‘Mind-bogglingly crazy’: Europe’s deadly, early heatwave is smashing records

By Laura Paddison   05/26/26  
Temperature records are being smashed across Europe as parts of the continent swelter in a heat wave that is bringing extreme temperatures alarmingly early in the year.
Read more

The US is seeing stronger storms, so why are droughts getting worse?

By David Boutt   05/26/26  
About two-thirds of the U.S. is in some stage of drought in late spring 2026, yet at the same time the country has been seeing more intense downpours. It might seem contradictory, but both are…
Read more

Convective Capital raises an $85 million fund to build disaster resilience

By Tim Fernholz   05/21/26  
Fire season kicked off early in California this year, with flames already approaching a former nuclear test site outside of Los Angeles. The rising number of natural disasters in California, and around the world, demand…
Read more

A Powerful El Niño Is Forming. If History Is a Guide, It Could Hit Hard.

By Chico Harlan   05/21/26  
Well before it was understood, the El Niño phenomenon was leaving its marks on humanity.
Read more

A warming world prepares for a strong El Niño

By David Gelles   05/21/26  
From time to time, ocean winds shift and the central and eastern Pacific Ocean experiences a heat wave.
Read more
CNN

What previous Super El Niños can tell us about the next one

By Andrew Freedman   05/19/26  
The coming “Super” El Niño is poised to affect the lives of hundreds of millions of people worldwide as it strengthens through the year into the winter season. It may also alter ecosystems for decades…
Read more

Catastrophe Is Emerging in the World’s Most Vulnerable Places

By Peter S. Goodman   05/18/26  
For nine days, they trudged across the parched soil of southern Somalia, taking turns carrying their 3-year-old daughter on their shoulders. Abdullahi Abdi Abdirahman, his wife and their seven children sought escape from a landscape…
Read more

Seasonal patterns that farmers trusted for generations have suddenly turned unpredictable

By Sanket Jain   05/18/26  
Farmers in Jambhali, a village of 5,000 in western India, have long turned to 80-year-old Satgonda Patil for advice on when to plant or harvest their crops. For more than six decades, his deep knowledge…
Read more

Sandy fire spreads, prompting evacuation warnings in L.A. County

By Terry Castleman and Karen Garcia   05/18/26  
A stubborn brush fire in Simi Valley has prompted officials to expand evacuation warnings in the communities that straddle the Ventura and Los Angeles county line. The flames burned at least one home and another…
Read more

El Niño: Meteorologists predict the climate pattern will likely develop by summer

By Tracy Tullis   05/16/26  
Meteorologists are predicting an El Niño climate pattern will almost certainly develop by summer, and by winter, there’s a two out of three chance that the episode will be strong or very strong, increasing the…
Read more
CNN

El Niño is coming faster than expected and chances are rising that it will be historically strong

By Chris Dolce   05/15/26  
This is according to a just-released update from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center that says there is a 2 in 3 chance that El Niño’s peak strength will be strong or very strong.
Read more

This coming El Niño could be a monster. Will it bring epic rain to California this winter?

By Rong-Gong Lin 2   05/14/26  
The likelihood of a potentially powerful El Niño taking shape in the Pacific Ocean is rising, heightening concerns that Southern California could be in for an extreme rainy season.
Read more

El Niño Is About to Become a Weather Time Machine

By Martina H   05/14/26  
The time machine is already running. It does not have gull-wing doors, a flux capacitor, or a DeLorean speeding over sparks in a parking lot. It has trade winds, overheated water, and charged ocean layers…
Read more

This coming El Niño could be a monster. Will it bring epic rain to California this winter?

By Rong-Gong Lin 11   05/14/26  
The likelihood of a potentially powerful El Niño taking shape in the Pacific Ocean is rising, heightening concerns that Southern California could be in for an extreme rainy season.
Read more

El Niño/southern Oscillation (Enso) Diagnostic Discussion

05/14/26  
In the past month, ENSO-neutral conditions continued, as indicated by near-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the east-central equatorial Pacific Ocean [Fig. 1]. The latest weekly Niño-3.4 index value was +0.4°C, with the westernmost (Niño-4)…
Read more

Something startling is happening in the Gulf of Mexico

By Jeff Masters   05/13/26  
In 2012, the temperature of the Gulf of Mexico began rising along a shocking upward trajectory.
Read more

Worst-Case Scenarios for El Niño Are Literally Off the Charts

By Ellyn Lapointe   05/13/26  
Chances of a “super” El Niño are rising as several climate models predict off-the-charts increases in Pacific sea surface temperatures by the fall. Meteorologists are growing increasingly concerned about what this could mean for global…
Read more

A super El Niño wiped out millions of people in 1877. Are we better prepared now?

By Ben Noll   05/12/26  
As chances rise for one of the strongest El Niño events on record later this year, the potential for dangerous conditions has prompted comparisons to 1877, when such an event drove catastrophe around the globe.
Read more

Worst Start to Wildfire Season Raises Alarm as El Niño Threatens

By Joe Wertz   05/12/26  
Record-breaking heat and drought have fueled the world’s worst ever start to a wildfire year, as climate change and a developing El Niño threaten to push extreme weather to new heights.
Read more

Tornado season is underway in Chicago. Here’s what to expect and when.

By Allison Kiehl   05/12/26  
The reemergence of thunderstorms and warming temperatures in the forecast are a reminder that tornado season is here in Chicagoland.
Read more

Where summerlike, record-breaking heat will hit the U.S. this week

By Ben Noll   05/11/26  
Record heat is expected to sizzle across 22 states this week — with the most intense conditions expected across the Intermountain West, Plains and South. Temperatures are forecast to top 90 degrees for about 50…
Read more

Trump Taps Former FEMA Chief Hamilton to Lead Agency Again

By Lauren Rosenthal and Zahra Hirji   05/11/26  
The Trump administration selected Cameron Hamilton to lead the Federal Emergency Management Agency, which is grappling with reduced staffing levels ahead of hurricane season in the Atlantic.
Read more

A late spring snowstorm slams Colorado, closing schools and disrupting commuters

By Mead Gruver and Others   05/08/26  
A late spring snowstorm eased across parts of Colorado after closing schools, snarling flights and turning roads slushy on Wednesday. The system swept over the Rocky Mountains and into the High Plains a day earlier…
Read more